Where It Stands

Let us summarize where our present understanding lies concerning dark matter, what it is, and its role in the formation of structure.

  • If inflation were correct and the cosmological constant were zero, the matter density of the Universe would be exactly the closure density, which would lead to flat geometry. Current data indicate that the Universe is indeed flat, as predicted by inflation, but that it does not contain a closure density of matter because there is a non-zero cosmological constant. Instead, about 30 percent of the closure density is supplied by matter and about 70 percent by dark energy (vaccum energy or a cosmological constant). Luminous matter contributes a small fraction of the closure density, implying that the vast majority of the mass density is dark matter. Thus, the present Universe is dominated by dark matter and dark energy.
  • The known neutrinos are relativistic (that is, they are hot dark matter) and therefore they erase fluctuations on small scales. They could aid the formation of large structures like superclusters but not smaller structures like galaxies. Thus, they are not likely to account for more than a small fraction of the dark matter. The WMAP analysis of cosmic microwave background fluctuations indicates that light neutrinos contribute less than 2 percent of the total energy density at decoupling.
  • On the scale of galaxies and clusters of galaxies, 90 percent of the total mass is not seen. In this case, a significant fraction of the dark matter could be normal (that is, baryonic) and be in the form of small, very low luminosity objects like white dwarfs, neutron stars, black holes, brown dwarfs, or red dwarfs. However, microlensing observations and searches for subluminous objects generally have not found enough of these "normal" objects to account for the mass of galaxy halos.
  • Data indicate a small mass for neutrinos, but not one large enough to dominate the mass density of the Universe. Further, strong constraints from big bang nucleosynthesis compared with the observed abundances of the light elements indicate that most of the dark matter is not baryonic. Thus, a significant fraction of the dark matter is likely to be nonbaryonic and not neutrinos, and to be cold (that is, massive so that it does not normally travel at relativistic velocities). Current speculation centers on not yet discovered elementary particles as the candidates for this cold dark matter.
  • Large-scale structure and its rapid formation in the early Universe is hard to understand, given the smallness of the cosmic microwave background fluctuations implied by COBE and WMAP, unless cold dark matter plays a central role in seeding initial structure formation. The models of structure formation most consistent with current data are probably the class of ΛCDM models that combine a cosmological constant (denoted by Λ) with cold dark matter (CDM) to give an accelerating but flat universe with cold dark matter to seed structure formation. As a bonus, the finite cosmological constant (with associated acceleration of the cosmic expansion) that is implicit in these models also makes the age of the Universe greater than we would estimate otherwise, which may help erase with any remaining discrepancies between the age of the Universe and the age of its oldest stars.
  • These observations taken together appear to justify several general statements. First, the Universe is flat and is presently dominated by dark energy (finite cosmological constant) and dark matter. This strongly favors the validity of the inflationary hypothesis. Second, cold dark matter probably was central to the formation of structure. Third, most of the dark matter is probably not "ordinary matter" (not baryonic). Thus, the growing evidence is that we live in a Universe dominated by dark energy and dark matter. We have as yet no strong clues as to the source and detailed nature of either because neither has been captured in a laboratory. At present, we know about dark matter and dark energy only from observations on galactic and larger scales in the cosmos.